Posts tagged football

Sep16

College Football: Another Year of Whacky Results!

college_football | comments

Hello blog readers!

It's a new football season, so it's time, once again, to start posting the results of my college football ranking program. Last year, I stopped about half way through the season because the statistics my computer ranks were starting to produce really strange results that I couldn't even attempt to analyze. I thought I'd give it another go this year, just to see what happens.

Continue reading »

Oct09

College Football: Winners Win; Losers Also Win?

college_football | comments

This week, my rankings are starting to settle in a little bit. I've included information on movement within the rankings for this week, to give you some idea of what changed from last week. As is often the case during the season, the numbers at the top changed a lot less than the numbers at the bottom.

Continue reading »

Oct04

College Football: Go Gamecocks? or Watching and Ranking

college_football | comments

Wow, so another weird week of football rankings. I think this week we can really see the difference between ranking and watching college football.

SEC? SEC!

My computer obviously did not have to sit through South Carolina's collapse against Auburn or Florida's beating at the hands of Alabama. While I realize that, especially in Florida's case, getting walloped by a good team is not necessarily a mark of shame (especially in my ranking system), South Carolina and Florida looked bad, like-out-of-the-Top-25 bad. As you can see below, this wasn't the case and my computer ranked both teams in highly (South Carolina at #9 was especially surprising).

Continue reading »

Sep25

College Football: Another Year, Another Season of Wacky Computer Rankings!

college_football | comments

In my ongoing attempt to get the "Pilsch Index" added to the BCS statistical calculations, I am once again spending Sunday mornings arguing with my computer's BCS ranking program. Generally, my program is incapable of producing any coherent results during the first three weeks of the season (for instance, it had FIU as the #5 team in the nation last week). Unlike all of the actual BCS computers (and the BCS human polls, for that matter), my computer only uses on-field data to determine rankings. The AP Poll, USA Today Coaches Poll, and the BCS computers all use preseason rankings (in some fashion) as initial seeds to their ranking systems. In the case of the AP and USA Today polls, this seeding takes the form of the very scientific formula of "hype + historic reputation + rumor mill," all very useful factors in any mathematical calculation.

Continue reading »

Oct10

Week 6 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

Another week of football. As Shawna pointed out, the season's almost half over! That's horrible (not the least because my dissertation is due at the end of the season. AGH!). Anyway, another good slate of games, and some really fun moments in the night games.

Continue reading »

Oct04

Week 5 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

Finally, a truly satisfying week of football! Appropriate, given that Mumme Poll voting started up again this week.

On Saturday, while I was rooting for Stanford, I think football won in Eugene: that was the kind of game I like to watch. Additionally, Air Force beat Navy for the first time in 7 years and did so in classic fashion. I wish Air Force had held on against Oklahoma, because I think they (and not TCU or Utah) are the team to beat in the MWC. We'll see.

Continue reading »

Sep13

Why I Won't Be Rooting For Tech This Season

football tech | comments

I don't want to be one of those loonies you encounter in Southern football, who calls for the coach's job after one bad game, but, after the Kansas game, it's time to fire Paul Johnson at Georgia Tech. In this post, I want to break down why I'm done being emotionally invested in The Yellow Jackets for the time being. I'm sure I could be accused of fair weather fandom, but I'd like to point out that in our run-up to (and whoopin' in) the Orange Bowl, last year, I'd been making a lot of the same complaints. The problem is, against Kansas, these problems came home to roost.

Continue reading »

Sep08

Week 1 Pre-Mumme Poll

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

So, The Mumme Poll doesn't start until Week 3, and the 2010 edition of my ranking program isn't ready yet (stupid dissertation). That said, that doesn't mean I can't engage in some wildly unverifiable speculation, eh?!

Continue reading »

Dec06

Week 14 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

What a week to end the season! Football had been really bringing me down lately, but this weekend--minus 30 minutes of watching Grand Valley State wipe the floor w/ Carson-Newman--was wall-to-wall excitement (& it was esp. helped by Georgia Tech overcoming failure & finally pulling out an ACC championship).

Continue reading »

Nov22

Week 12 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

Ho hum, another week, another Mumme Poll ballot. I grow weary of this season.

As a lot of people have pointed out, there's not a whole lot interesting going on in college football, this season (esp. at the top). Also, this was (at least on the surface) a pretty dismal week of football. That said, I enjoyed watching Texas Tech rip apart Oklahoma with their new quarterback Nick Potts (there's two links in that name, so make sure to click both). Additionally, the bits of Oregon / Arizona I got to watch online (b/c apparently ESPN thinks ppl in Georgia are more interested in Texas & Kansas) were really exciting. I was sad to see Stanford play like, well, Stanford in The Big Game. Also, I really loved watching Notre Dame & Georgia lose on senior night at home. Fun times!

Continue reading »

Nov15

Week 11 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

Ahh, another week, another week of football. Frankly, I'm getting a little bored. Texas, Alabama, and Florida all won and all stayed ranked in the top 3, despite the fact that I think we can safely claim that Texas is the only of those three that seems to want the ranking. While I've been a bit of a Florida booster for the last few years, I have to say I'm really starting to actively root against these guys. My dad likes to say that he vividly remembers during a Baltimore Colts game an announcer proclaiming that the Colts looked "like a bunch of tired businessmen." I'm starting to think the Gators have that same vibe: they look like they have senioritis ("ho-hum, I guess we'll win another national championship").

Continue reading »

Nov11

More On Ranking Football Teams

football poll bcs | comments

A few weeks ago, I posted my BCS ranking computer program. It did a pretty good job, but there were some weird results. Specifically, it had what I call "the Idaho problem."

Continue reading »

Nov01

Week 9 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

And here we are again: another Sunday morning, another blog post about my Mumme Poll ballot.

A lot of movement this week. Also, now that I have a computer poll, I can have my first controversy: the computer and the human voter disagree! I've attached week 9 numbers for my computer poll below, so you can see the disagreements. Basically, I bounced Iowa and Alabama from the Top 5 in favor of moving up TCU and Boise State. I thought about having Oregon in the Top 5, but couldn't really figure out why they should be so ranked, esp. above Boise State (other than swatting USC like the annoying flies they are!). I also moved Alabama out of the Top 5 b/c, despite not playing this week, a lot of their competition put up some serious offensive numbers and I feel that this is going to be increasingly important down the stretch (esp. now that Florida's offense remembered how to complete passes to Florida receivers instead of defensive backs). Iowa got moved out of the Top 5, b/c I'm becoming convinced that my computer (& the BCS computers) loves them b/c they are already 9-0, while most teams are only 8-0. My ranking algorithm rewards teams w/ more games played. Also, if you only watched the first three quarters against Indiana, you would probably think about bouncing them, too. B/c as it is obvious they are going to win the Big Ten, the question becomes: "can Iowa beat Oregon in a Rose Bowl?" I think the answer, after Oregon's day against SC, is clearly "no."

Continue reading »

Oct31

Rank Your Own Damn Teams

football poll bcs | comments

I think almost all college football fans would agree that the BCS is, if nothing else, a strange system. There are human polls, computer rankings, & lots and lots of money. After the craziness that put Iowa at the top of the computers (which I agree with, I have to say), I started reading about some of these mysterious computers. Frankly, some of them are odd, as they start with preseason "power rankings," which are basically guessing (the Billingsley model actually punishes teams for not performing based on how he guessed they would perform). I was wondering if it was possible to produce a computer program that didn't involve any initial seeding and could still produce reasonable rankings.

Continue reading »

Oct25

Week 8 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

Ahh the joys of finally getting exactly what you want from football. There were two things I was looking forward to happening this weekend:

  1. Georgia Tech beats Virginia (34-9)
  2. Clemson beats Miami (40-37; this was quite a game, btw)
Continue reading »

Oct18

Week 7 Mumme Poll Ballot

football poll ballot mumme_poll | comments

I take part in the Mumme Poll, an online effort to create a more efficacious football ranking. Each week, voters are asked to pick the twelve best teams in college football, designating five as the best and seven as the rest. The teams are then ranked according to voting frequency, w/ "top" designation being used as a tiebreaker.

Continue reading »

Jul30

Michael Vick and the NFL

vick falcons football | comments

Pete Prisco has an interesting article up about Michael Vick's future in the NFL. He, once again, highlights the fact that Vick was never a good passer, during his time with the Falcons (which is something I've said a lot, before: he makes good receivers bad, because why try when you know he can run you out of trouble?). To make it in the NFL, again, Prisco suggests that Vick needs to have a Donovan McNabb style maturation process from a scrambler to a frightening pocket passer. The problem, though, as I see it, is why you would take the chance that he can become such a quarterback.

Continue reading »

Apr28

Graham Harrell

football nfl texas_tech | comments

This article about Graham Harrell made me incredibly angry. I understand the desire to not draft an air raid or run-and-shoot quarterback in the NFL (I guess). I mean, I suppose I could list some reasons: David Klinger, Akili Smith, Tim Couch, and Andre Ware. As one commentator pointed out, though, NFL teams don't run this style of offense. Except the Patriots and the Cardinals and the Kansas City Chiefs (assuming Todd Haley moves his offense from Arizona). Kansas City doesn't even have a quarterback.

Continue reading »

Apr26

Falcons Draft: Round 3

falcons football nfl draft | comments

As a pick-me-up, a few days ago, Shawna bought me a copy of Pro Football Draft magazine (which has been a fun and surprisingly useful resource for following the draft), but the Atlanta Falcons just picked someone who wasn't even profiled in the guide: cornerback Chris Owens.

Continue reading »

Apr25

Falcons Draft: Rounds 1 & 2

falcons football nfl draft | comments

I thought our (Atlanta Falcons) NFL draft went well, today. I thought we might should have looked at an OLB before drafting a safety, but I think we got a value in William Moore. Also, Peria Jerry (I keep wanting to call him Perry Jeria) looks like a beast.

Continue reading »

Apr13

Todd Marinovich

football reading | comments

I mentioned Todd Marinovich to a friend of mine on Twitter, and it lead to some Google-ing and it turned up this mention of Esquire's profile of Todd Marinovich. Thanks to the magic of ProQuest, I read the article (in the May, 2009 issue). It's a pretty interesting piece about Marinovich, but I wish it went more into the world of prep football. There are a number of people in the article who are seen asking Marinovich's advice, which, given the wreck that is his life, seems odd to me. Oh well: worth reading.

Log In